In the aftermath of the latest round of air travel restrictions, it seems to me there will be quite a few ramifications for the travel industry, if these restrictions stay in place for any length of time. Here are some of the ones I see, in no particular order.
- Full-service airlines will have a fighting chance again, as long as they actually provide the amenities that used to be expected for travel, such as food, drink (even if non-alcoholic), pillows, blankets, in-flight video systems, and magazines.
- Flights will be full of tetchy bored people whose electronic toys were taken away from them cursing the noisy bored children whose toys were taken away from them.
- Boeing’s decision to create a plane for point-to-point travel rather than hub and spoke looks like the right one. Flights from Heathrow and Gatwick (the big airports) were the target points rather than those from smaller airports; flights from smaller airports may be used as a way to get materials onto other flights (if there are no security checks between landing from one flight and getting on the next) but are less likely to be targets themselves. Taking flights from small airport to small airport will also avoid the longer security-checking delays at larger airports.
- Security screening of bags as you get on the plane is likely to start, to enable people to take some cabin baggage.
- Cheap airlines which have been trying to stop people checking luggage and only take on hand luggage are going to have a hard time.
- Companies that sell really good padded bags so you can check your laptop without worries will find a lot of customers. People should also give more thought to securing the data on their laptops when they check them, but most probably won’t bother. Insurance companies will have to cope with a lot of claims for lost and damaged laptops, iPods, etc.
- The mid-80s fashion for see-through briefcases and purses will be reinvigorated. I had one of these purses, it was actually quite handy being able to find things quickly in it.
- Air taxis will start to become popular as people try to avoid the increasing unpleasantness of commercial air travel.
It will be interesting to see how this all plays out, and whether the various Air Transport authorities manage to come up with real, effective security measures that don’t inconvenience the innocent too much. I’m just glad I don’t need to travel anywhere much in the near future.